Lia Karatancheva vs Mana Ayukawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Ayukawa excelling, winning 48.18% of second-serve points compared to Karatancheva's 40.8%. Is this a key factor for predicting the match outcome? Yes, it often correlates with match success.
• Analyzing return game stats, Karatancheva has a higher win rate for opponent second-serve points at 50.22%, while Ayukawa stands at 48.47%.
• In terms of first-serve return points, Karatancheva wins 38.33%, surpassing Ayukawa's 26.32%. How significant is this advantage? It’s frequently a predictor of match favoritism.
• Under pressure, Ayukawa saves 53.23% of breakpoints, exceeding Karatancheva's 45.66%, hinting at Ayukawa's resilience.
• Over the past year, Karatancheva boasts a 58.02% match win rate, contrasting with Ayukawa's 33.33%, suggesting a stronger overall performance by Karatancheva.
• On their preferred surfaces, Karatancheva has a 56% win rate on clay, while Ayukawa is stronger on grass with a 55% win rate.
• Both players primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K, with Karatancheva achieving a higher win percentage.
• Karatancheva faces higher-ranked competitors on average (rank 357.06) than Ayukawa (rank 426.42), possibly giving her an edge in experience.
• In deciding sets, Ayukawa has a slightly better winning percentage (50%) than Karatancheva (46%). Could this be crucial if the match is close? Potentially, yes.
• Break point conversion efficiency shows Ayukawa at 50%, surpassing Karatancheva’s 43.43%, which is influential during critical match moments.

Editorial Prediction (June 29, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match between Karatancheva and Ayukawa promises an intriguing contest of skills and resilience. Ayukawa demonstrates stronger recent performance in second serve points and break point conversion, both critical areas that can shift match momentum.

Conversely, Karatancheva displays a solid advantage in return game efficiency on both first and second serves. Her experience against higher-ranked players and overall match win percentage over the past year also positions her competitively.

The battle may well come down to mental toughness in pressure situations; however, Karatancheva’s broader experience and superior win record give her a probable edge. Thus, Karatancheva is the likely winner of this upcoming encounter.